We offer you a long-term weather forecast for Tyumen, which will help you understand what the upcoming winter of 2021-2022 will be like in this region, and what weather you can expect for the New Year.
Climatic and geographical features of the region
The Tyumen region includes two administrative districts with significantly different winter climate standards.
Climate of the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous district
Most of the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous Okrug belongs to the Far North, which is characterized by severe weather conditions of the Arctic and subarctic climate.
The main climate-forming factors of the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous district are:
- proximity of the Arctic ocean;
- flat terrain;
- location in high latitudes.
The norm for the region is a prolonged cold and snowy winter with extremely low temperatures up to-50 ° C and a stable snow cover that melts only by the end of may, as well as a very short and cool summer. The average winter temperature in the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous district is -25 ° C. Frequent visitors during the winter months are blizzards with sharp gusty winds up to 30 m / s.
Climate of the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug
The territory of the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug is dominated by a sharply continental climate.
The climatic features of Ugra are influenced by the following factors::
- proximity to the Ural mountains;
- flat terrain;
- openness of the territory to cold Arctic air masses.
For KHMAO norm is snowy and lengthy winter with fairly low temperatures (in the southern region to -40 º C in the North up to -50 ° C), strong winds and steady snow cover.
However, winter is a bit milder in the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug. The average winter temperature for the territories of the southwestern sector is -18 ° C, although in the North-East the indicator is close to the Yamalo-Nenets Autonomous district-24 ° C.
The Climate Of Tyumen
The administrative center of the region, the city of Tyumen, is located in the zone of a sharply continental climate (in the South of the Tyumen region). The number of days with sub-zero temperatures here is about 130 per year, and the average temperature of the winter months is-15 ° C.
How severe winter can be in Tyumen and what can be expected for guests and residents of the city in the 2021-2022 season, a detailed climatogram clearly demonstrates.
Despite the extreme temperature values that can be seen in the “absolute minimum” column, in recent years, winters in Tyumen have become significantly warmer and frosts of 30 ° C or more have become the exception rather than the rule, as was previously the case. But at the same time, significant daily temperature changes and sudden weather changes are commonplace for Tyumen. For the local population, this is common, but for an untrained tourist it can be an unpleasant surprise.
Long-term forecast by month
Every year, even before the onset of cold weather, meteorologists try to predict what winter will be like in Tyumen, and for the cold period 2021-2022, there is also a long-term forecast.
Important! The probability of reliability of the forecast made by forecasters for several months ahead, according to various sources, ranges from 60-80%.
Meteorologists promise residents and guests of the city the first night frosts and snow in the first days of October. Already in mid-November, night frosts will reach values of -22 ° C, so by the beginning of December, winter will fully come into its own, and a stable snow cover will form on the roads.
The beginning of calendar winter Tyumen will meet on a temperature swing. In just one day, the temperature will change from a comfortable -2 ° C to -18 ° C. December will be rich in precipitation, so guests who decide to visit the region for the New Year will have the opportunity to fully enjoy winter entertainment and the incredible beauty of the city streets, which will definitely be decorated on the eve of the holidays.
The second half of December will be frosty. Forecasters predict that the thermometer will drop below -20 ° C not only at night, but also during the day.
On New Year’s eve (December 31), precipitation is not promised, but the weather will be frosty, so you should not plan long walks on new year’s eve.
January is traditionally the coldest month of the year. It is in the first month of the new year that the lowest temperatures occur. Also in January, residents of Tyumen will have many clear Sunny days. But, the temperature regime will only allow you to go outside for a short time and enjoy the snow sparkling in the sun, because the promised meteorologists -20 ° C (and even-24 ° C), turning into night-36 ° C will not contribute to walks in the fresh frosty air.
The last month of calendar winter is also not very warm. Only schoolchildren who are traditionally allowed to stay at home when the temperature drops to -30 ° C will be happy.
As you can see, already in the second week of February, night temperatures will reach extreme values – frosts will increase to-43 ° C.
Analyzing what kind of winter, according to meteorologists, will be in Tyumen in 2021, you can see that the upcoming cold period will be colder than a year ago.
Do not count on the arrival of warming with the onset of calendar spring. After all, stable heat in Tyumen is established no earlier than the second half of April, and sometimes night frosts continue until the month of may.